On this page you will find information about:
Types of population projectionsPopulation projections for South Australia and statistical divisions 2006-2036Small area population projections 2006-2026Cautionary note about using population projections
Types of population projections
The State Government provides age and sex population projections at several levels:
- state
- statistical division (SD)
- statistical local area (SLA)
- local government area
- South Australian Government region.
The projections are updated every five years following the release of final figures from the most recent Census of Population and Housing published by the
Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).
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Population projections for South Australia and statistical divisions 2006-2036
These population projections comprise three series (high, medium and low). They reflect the likely range of population futures for South Australia and its statistical divisions. The medium series is the most likely outcome, while the high and low series enable management of risks if a population trend that is higher or lower than the medium series emerges.
South Australia and statistical division projections 2006-2036 - high series (Excel 1.4MB)
South Australia and statistical division projections 2006-2036 - medium series (Excel 1.5MB)
South Australia and statistical division projections 2006-2036 - low series (Excel 1.4MB)
The
Population projections for South Australia and statistical divisions, 2006-2036 report (PDF 1.5MB) summarises the assumptions used to develop the projections and outlines the demographic context of the projection outcomes and their demographic significance.
The projections are based on the 2006 Census of Population and Housing and supersede those published in 2007.
The South Australian Cabinet approved the projections and endorsed their use by state agencies on 13 December 2010.
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Small area population projections 2006-2026
These projections are produced for the 128 statistical local areas, 68 local government areas and 12 South Australian Government Regions in the state. They are aggregated by five-year age groups for five-year intervals over the period 2006-2026. Because of the inherent uncertainties in small area projections, it is not appropriate to project beyond a 20-year horizon.
Users of these projections should carefully read the
explanatory notes (PDF 20.9KB) before downloading the projections.
Statistical local area projections 2006-2026 (Excel 1.03MB)
Local government area projections 2006-2026 (Excel 986KB)
South Australian government region projections 2006-2026 (Excel 776KB)
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Cautionary note about using population projections
Please note that population projections are not forecasts of the future. They are estimates of the future size, age structure and geographic distribution of populations based on particular assumptions about future fertility, mortality and migration.
Actual future populations will vary from these projections.
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More information
On this site
Ageing population Workplace atlas Journey to work maps Other websites Australian Population Association GISCA – National Centre for Social Applications of GIS Contact
Planning data and maps